Showing posts with label Islamic terror. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Islamic terror. Show all posts

Sunday, April 14, 2024

The changing landscape of terrorism and its funding.

 In the last two years (2023 / 2024) deaths from terrorism have increased by over 22% and are now at their highest levels since 2017, though they are 23% lower than their peak in 2015. While the number of deaths increased, the number of terrorists’ incidents fell, with total attacks dropping by 22% since 2017. While there were 3,350 global terrorist attacks in 2023, Pakistan recorded the highest in any country with 490 recorded attacks. The rising number of fatalities, with a reducing number of incidents indicates that terrorism is becoming more concentrated and correspondingly lethal. There were 57 countries affected by terrorism in 2015 and 44 in 2022, which fell to 41 in 2023. The single largest terrorist attack that occurred in 2023 was the 7th October attack by Hamas on Israel, that killed 1,200 people and was the largest single terror attack since 11 September 2001 (the 9/11 attacks). The consequences of the Hamas attack are still in progress with an estimated 26,000 Palestinian killed by the retaliatory military response by Israel, as of February 2024.

While Israel suffered the largest terrorist attack of 2023, it was Burkina Faso that has been most impacted by terrorism. 258 terrorist attacks killed over 2,000 people, accounting for nearly a quarter of the global deaths due to terrorism, surpassing Afghanistan and Iraq. Iraq had less than 100 deaths from terrorism in 2023, a massive 99% reduction in the number of deaths since their peak in 2007, and incidents falling by 90%. Afghanistan has had an 84% fall in deaths and 75% reduction in incidents since 2007. The deadliest terrorists’ groups in 2023 were the Islamic State (Daesh), the Jamat Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM) which is part of the Algeria based al-Qaeda, Hamas, and al-Shabaab which is based in Somalia and active in East Africa.

The Islamic State has remained the globally deadliest terrorist group for the last nine consecutive years, recording the highest number of attacks and the greatest number of deaths from terrorism. The group is still active, although its impact has been falling these past nine years. Deaths attributed to this group and its affiliates fell by 17% over the last year, the lowest since 2014, while it carried out attacks in 20 countries in 2023, a number that is reduced from 30 countries in 2020. 

Terrorism has been reducing for several years prior to 2023 with a substantial fall between 2015 to 2019, with a current high percentage increase even as the total number of attacks have fallen considerably. The number of active terrorist groups have also fallen over the past 15 years with 66 still active in 2023, compared to 141 in 2009. However, terrorist attacks are now more intensified with fewer attacks committed by fewer people, while causing a higher number of fatalities, with the death of victims rising from 1.6 per attack in 2022 to 2.5 per attack in 2023. 

Today, the primary threat of terrorism comes from individuals inside the country who are inspired the global terrorist organizations ideologies and those who seek to martyr themselves by carrying out terrorist attacks without any specific directions from a known terrorist group. Particularly, domestic violent extremism, which is motivated by religious bias, grievances against government authority and/or a mix of ideologies have grown over the last five years to become one if the most serious threats against democracies.

As the nature of the threat of terrorism and the individuals involved get more varied, the financing of terrorist activities has similarly changed over the past few years. While some organizations still send money to terrorist groups across the world, many “inspired” individuals are focusing their efforts and resources on unprotected civilian targets. ISIS and al-Qaeda related financial activity is most commonly associated with people from the Western countries, USA, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and North African countries aspiring to travel and join these organizations, while transferring money via underground channels. 

Terrorist organizations are also fast adopting to changes in technology, using virtual assets to transfer funds, and using clones of legitimate charities to collect and transfer funds globally. ISIS-K in Afghanistan remains an important and powerful affiliate due to its role as a regional hub, transferring hundreds of thousands of dollars to financial facilitators as well as providing personnel and weapons to support external operations. Apart from cash reserves, ISIS generates significant income through various illicit and criminal activities. Kidnapping for ransom and extortion provides significant amounts of money to the group, especially for key ISIS branches, such as ISIS-K and ISIS-Somalia. 

ISIS-Somalia has become one of the most important branches for ISIS financially, as it generates significant revenue for the group through extortion of local businesses and financial institutions, some of which is then transferred and distributed to other ISIS branches and networks. ISIS-Somalia has served as a financial and communication hub for the global ISIS enterprise, facilitating funds transfers to other branches and networks through mobile money platforms, cash transfers, hawala, and money laundering through businesses. ISIS has also sought to aggressively fundraise online using social media, encrypted mobile applications, online gaming platforms, and virtual asset service providers (VASPs) for fund transfers.

Al-Qaeda and its affiliate groups continue to utilize many of their long-standing methods of illicit revenue generation. According to the UN, al-Shabaab is still in a very strong financial position, having several reliable sources of income, with an estimated annual revenue of around $100 million. The group engages in systemic extortion of businesses and individuals in Somalia, leveraging its territorial control to maintain a consistent stream of revenue. Tactics include setting up checkpoints to extort vehicles and transportation of goods along supply routes as well as illegally taxing residential properties and developers of new properties in Mogadishu. Al-Shabaab predominantly collects this money in cash but also uses mobile money services, money remitters, and banks to transfer funds. Recent public actions against al-Shabaab financiers have highlighted al-Shabaab’s reliance on weak government institutions and regional and international networks of financial facilitators to support the group’s activities.

The terrorist group Hizbullah is funded in large part by the Iranian government, which provides several hundred million dollars a year in direct funding. Hizbullah also engages in a range of illicit and commercial activities to supplement its income. These illicit activities range from oil smuggling and shipping and charcoal smuggling to drug and weapons trafficking. For instance, Hizbullah has been implicated in several complex illicit oil smuggling schemes which were orchestrated by, and jointly benefited, both Hizbullah and Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Quds Force. In one scheme, numerous companies and ships smuggled Iranian oil by blending it with Indian petroleum-products and creating counterfeit certificates of origin. The oil was then loaded onto ships owned and flagged in Liberia and Djibouti, seen as more permissive jurisdictions, to avoid scrutiny. This example demonstrates Hizbullah’s ability to use a complex web of front companies to hide, both the ownership of the vessels and the true source of the oil. Hizbullah also regularly exploits the international financial system and excels in utilizing networks of seemingly legitimate front companies to raise, launder, and move money on behalf of the group. These front companies are used to obscure the true beneficial ownership. They are used extensively in various commercial activities benefiting Hizbullah, such as real estate, import/export, construction, and luxury goods. These commercial activities generate significant income for the group and draw less scrutiny than outright illicit enterprises.

Terrorism and terrorist financing threat has evolved significantly since 2017, with terrorist organizations and violent extremist movements having shifted to a more diffuse, less hierarchical, networked structure facilitated by online communication, in which individuals may self-radicalize and become inspired by an ideology from across the globe. In the financing context, this means attacks by such radicalized individuals are smaller scale and require less outside financing, creating significant challenges for financial institutions and law enforcement looking to prevent attacks. However, terrorist organizations will still look to battle-tested methods of raising, moving, and using funds. Even as new security challenges arise, and terrorists adapt to counter-terrorism efforts, and new terrorist threats emerge around the world, we have to remain committed to keep evolving to meet new challenges and countering the next decade of terrorist threats.

 

References:

1.   Global terrorism index [GTI]

2.   Terrorism tracker

3.   Institute for Economics and Peace

4.   U.S. Dept of Justice

5.   ODNI 2023 Annual Threat Assessment

6.   International Centre for Counter-Terrorism

7.   U.S. Department of Treasury, OFAC reports

8.   FATF, Terrorist Financing Risk Assessment Guidance, (Jul. 2019)

 

 Al Qaeda branch calls for new attacks against U.S. - CNN

 

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Geopolitics of terrorism and it’s rising threat

 October 07, 2023 can be considered as a major turning point in the world of terrorism, when Hamas attacked Israel. For the first few hours Hamas terrorists rampaged through the border territory that separates the Gaza strip from Israel and carried out atrocities against humanity through their targeting of civilians, killing over 1200 and kidnapping 248 in this initial attack. Hamas adheres to an extreme ideology of Islamic terrorism blended with Palestinian nationalism that gives a veneer of legitimacy in the Arab world while being dedicated to the destruction of Israel; with its preferred methods to achieve dominance includes rocket attacks, random shootings, kidnappings and suicide bombings. However, since Hamas has not been designated as a terrorist organization by the United Nations, it receives constant funding from Qatar and Iran that allows it to build grassroots support among the Palestinians in Gaza, while constantly upgrading its military capacity.

 Going backwards in time, it was on 15 August 2021, that the Taliban marched into Kabul and took over Afghanistan as the U.S. military and its allies hastily evacuated that country. This victory of the Taliban over the great Western powers was a major morale boost every terrorist organization across the globe. Regardless of the Doha accord that was brokered by Qatar between the Taliban and USA; the consensus between all terrorist organizations is that the Taliban won a protracted 20-years war against the Western military might and most importantly that their modern military could be defeated. In the West, there is a growing consensus that Afghanistan has become a center of terrorist activities that is already affecting the neighboring regions, with terrorists’ groups having greater freedom of activities without any hindrance from the de-facto administrators of that country.  The influence of the Taliban is today an integral part of the global Islamist terrorist narrative.

 Since retaking control of Afghanistan, the Taliban has transformed the schools into religious madrassas (Islamic schools), where boys are indoctrinated by mullahs in extremist ideology that includes hatred for USA, Israel, and Europe. Former terrorists from Arab states are tasked with drilling recruits in military training and ideological instructions. Their efforts are focused on producing a new generation of well-trained and radically educated extremists. In this context, Hamas had been the first to congratulate the Taliban on their victory in 2021 and the Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, in a telephone conversation with Abdul Ghani Baradar, the deputy Prime Minister of Afghanistan and a senior Taliban leader had stated that “the end of the U.S. occupation was a prelude to the demise of all occupation forces, foremost of which is the Israeli occupation of Palestine”. Coming to present times, the most surprising part of Hamas’ devastating cross-border attack was its complexity. Rarely in history has a terrorist organization been able to fight from the air, sea, and land; leaving no doubt that members of the Hamas were trained in battle tactics by various experienced terrorists and that a large number of Taliban and other Arab-origin fighters might have been part of the attackers in this operation.

 Terrorism has the power to destroy peace processes, dangerously escalate volatile situations and push countries onto the path of long and destructive wars. It is said that “Those who forget their history are condemned to repeat it.” It was an assassin’s bullet in Sarajevo that resulted in World War I and produced 40 million casualties, and it was the 3,000 persons killed in New York on Sept 11, 2001 that launched the U.S. led global war on terror in which an estimated 3.6 to 3.8 million have since perished. This current Hamas-Israel conflict already has ramifications far beyond the Middle-East. This terrorist attack should be ringing alarm bells across the world. Every country has its own enemies who seek an opportunity to exploit that country’s social and political divisiveness, civil distractions and security challenges. Fomenting domestic political violence would be one of the foremost strategies, alongwith cross-border terrorism.

 Hamas’s terrorist attack on Israel has significant repercussions on the Ukraine-Russia war. While both Russia and Ukraine are seeking political and diplomatic support from international communities, the Hamas–Israel war is taking global attention and resources away from Ukraine’s war efforts. This change of focus by the global community could lead to a diminished economic and military assistance for that country, even though the USA has reconfirmed that it will maintain military and economic support for Ukraine as its strategic priority. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy was quick to condemn Hamas’s actions in an effort to clearly align his policy with that of the USA’s position of supporting Israel, but at the same time he wants to avoid alienating the Arab world, especially Saudi Arabia.

 Russia, as a part if it’s multi-polar sphere of influence policy has not condemned Hamas directly, and has blamed the policies of the USA for this current Middle-East crisis. Russia has a longstanding relationship with Hamas. By offering to serve as a mediator between Israel and the Palestinians, Russia shows that it is aligning explicitly with the global south, seeking to erode the USA led liberal world order and pushing forth the concept of a growing multi-polar world of global politics, calling for a ‘just solution’ to the Palestinian problem, according to the Russian Foreign Ministry.

 The two wars of the world; Russia fighting Ukraine, and the Hamas-Israel conflict has pushed up the cost of living across the world and severely diminished the heath and well-being of people, specially those mired in poverty. With growing food insecurity, over 258 million people in 58 plus countries are in a food crisis or in a moderate to severe food insecurity. European countries are facing soaring energy prices, leading to a decline in economic growth. There is also the impact on global financial markets. European countries have suffered large losses, with East Europe affected through disrupted trade links and West Europe affected through their ownership investments. There is no doubt that Europe will feel the long-term financial impact of the war more severely than other countries.

 The Gaza-Israel conflict has already led to a tragic loss of lives and is a severe risk to the fragile peace in the middle-east. The economic repercussions of this crisis will depend on the extent and duration of the fighting, the associated geopolitical effect and the strong possibility of increased terrorist attacks. From the global economic perspective, energy security is the most important issue. The developing situation might lead to severe supply disruption, particularly if the crisis brings Iran into the war directly, or if the general unrest and terrorist attacks in Iraq reduces the oil production there. Apart from the fact that the Middle-east is a crucial supplier of energy, it is also a key shipping passageway. Whether the hostilities remain confined to Gaza and Israel, or escalates to a direct military confrontation between Israel and Iran; the result will be the same; increased cost of energy supplies, slower economic growth and higher inflation.

 Regardless of how this conflict continues, any hope for a stable Middle-East has suffered a set-back, maybe for a long time. The world is today mired in regional conflict that have negative global effects. The two ongoing wars, the US-China trade war, and the rising potential for a conflict over Taiwan, shows that the world is today in a state of constant disruptions, and that geopolitics will drive the economic outcomes across regions.

 The Republic of Bharat (India) has charted its own course during these turbulent times. Bharat has stood firm in its policy of public neutrality towards every country involved in these conflicts, either directly or though the support structure on behalf of the participants. Bharat has consistently called for the “respect for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of states” and for “an immediate cessation of violence and hostilities”. It is constantly advising that “dialogue is the only answer to settling differences and disputes”. Bharat has ascended to the international stage as a great power without committing to any economic or military alliances that might entangle its progress. This ascent is best guaranteed through the path of peace and goodwill when surrounded by competing power centers that can be leveraged to derive benefits amid their mutual rivalries, while keeping its own interests in mind without forming any alliances to realize its geopolitical objectives. Essentially, Bharat prefers a multipolar global order that allows it to maneuver between several diverse blocs, exploiting their differences depending on the issues-at-hand, to secure gains for itself while avoiding permanent alignments with anyone.

 

References:  

https://foreignpolicy.com

https://warontherocks.com

https://www.amjmed.com

https://www.usip.org

https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/

https://www.economicsobservatory.com/

https://www.bloomberg.com/

https://carnegieendowment.org/

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sunday, October 29, 2023

Israeli intelligence failure – or a deep rooted conspiracy?

On Saturday 07th October 2023, the terrorist group Hamas based out of the Gaza strip caught the State of Israel by complete surprise, breaking through an electronically powered physical fence that is supposed to have cost over a billion US dollars in its creation, to safe-guard the security of Israel. The fence was breached at multiple sites and the entire concept of its existence crashed, along-with the credibility of the Israeli intelligence services.

Three issues are glaring prominent in this attack. The 1st is the speed, training and focus of the Hamas terrorists when they broke through the fence, invaded Israeli territories, captured and transported hostages back to Gaza while indiscriminately killing civilians. The 2nd issue is the lack of an immediate response by the Israeli Defense Forces. It took the IDF over six hours to enter this battle-field, stripping away the much-publicized fantasy of the IDF being a professionally trained and highly skilled, mobile fighting force. The 3rd issue was the global reputation of the Israeli intelligence services. “Mossad”, the civilian–military intelligence and anti-terrorist strike force; the “Military Intelligence Directorate” which is to supposed to inform the Israeli government and IDF with intelligence warnings and alerts on a daily basis; the "Shin bet", the organization charged with maintaining internal security, including in the Israeli-occupied territories; the “Combat Intelligence Collection Corps” which is the newest of the IDF GOC Army Headquarters' five corps, created in April 2000 and tasked with collecting combat intelligence; and “Lekem” (Lishka le-Kishrei Mada) which is tasked to collect scientific and technical intelligence abroad from both open and covert sources, and was supposed to have been disbanded in 1986, but never confirmed to have been so.  

All five of these intelligence services seem to have failed their primary purpose of keeping their government informed of the activities of their immediate enemy, the State of Palestine and its armed factions Hamas (specifically it’s Qassam brigades), Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Palestinian Liberation Front, as-Sa’iqa, Fatah al-Intifada, Popular Front for Liberation of Palestine; etc.

Hamas, which started the current attack on Israel, was created in 1987 as an off-shoot of the Muslim Brotherhood’s political movement. The Muslim Brotherhood identifies itself as a Sunni Islamist organization that was founded in Egypt in 1928, by Hassan al-Banna, and Islamic scholar and school teacher. Hamas has been financed regularly by Iran and Qatar, two counties which are seemingly at odds with each other the former being Shi’a and the latter being Sunni. Yet, both have funded Hamas and other terrorist organizations due to their common hatred against Israel.

Iran has had a complex relationship with Israel. This relationship has changed from military and economic close cooperation before the Iranian revolution of 1979, to complete hostility, with Iran supporting Hamas and the Islamic Jihad for Palestine in Gaza, and the Hezbollah in Lebanon. Before the 1979 revolution, when most Arab countries in Middle-East were in opposition to the existence of Israel, the then Shah of Iran supported Israeli settlers in what was considered as Palestine territories.  The Shah of Iran, Reza Pahlavi recognized Israel as a sovereign state in 1950. Economic, political and military cooperation between these two countries expanded rapidly while tensions between Israel and the Arab countries escalated in the 1960s and 1970s.

Before the Shah of Iran was deposed in 1979, Israel had undertaken a multi-billion-dollar project to sell advanced, surface-to-surface missiles to Iran. This project, code named ‘Flower’, was one of the six oil-for-arms contract signed in Tehran in April 1977 by Shah Reza Pahlavi and Shimon Peres, the then Defense Minister of Israel. The Flower project, involved the production of missiles with warheads weighing 750 Kgs and a tactical range of 480 kms. This joint missile program envisaged shipping the missiles from Israel to Iran, in the form of components for assembly and testing. Operation Flower was just one of the many joint military projects between the two countries. According to de-classified documents available in the USA’s Library of Congress, other projects included advanced radar systems, converting aircraft for maritime surveillance purposes, and enhancing the missiles program to enable their launch from submarines.

Even after 1979, when the Shah of Iran was deposed by the Islamic Revolution, the Iran-Israel military cooperation continued discreetly with Israel supplying arms, ammunition and military aid to Iran during its 10-year war against Saddam Hussain’s Iraq, in the 1980s. Various sources has estimated that, with the tactic approval of the USA, Iran was provided military aid of approximately US$ 2 billion in that period. The clandestine cooperation did not stop there. During the Iran-Contra affair, Israel played a crucial role as a facilitator of arms shipments from USA to Iran in 1985 and 1986.

All this came to an end when Yasser Arafat, the then PLO Chairman signed the Oslo Accords on 13 September 1993, with Israel Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, in the presence of the then President of USA, Bill Clinton. This prompted the Ayatollahs of Iran to begin their campaign to create new armed Islamist groups in Palestine and Lebanon, while increasing their support to existing ones. While Iran is estimated to be funding US$ 100 million annually to Hamas, it has also publicly acknowledged that it is also supplying the rockets used by Hamas to target Israel. In 2012, Iran’s military commanders disclosed that they had provided over 50 thousand rockets and over half a million anti-tank missiles to militants in Gaza; alongwith the technology to manufacture the Fajr-5 missiles in Gaza itself.

It seems hard to believe that none of this was noted seriously by the five intelligence agencies of Israel.

Now, let us look at the role played by Qatar in their support for Hamas. Throughout the last 60 odd years, Qatar has facilitated and funded radical Islamist ideologies and provided a safe haven to their leaders inside Qatar. The entire leadership of Hamas are permanent residents of Qatar, lavishly hosted and richly funded by Qatar’s ruling al-Thani family. Beyond this, Qatar is funding an assertive Islamist social environment in the West through its investment in Islamic education and academic fields in the UK, funding of British schools, universities, community centers and Islamic centers; essentially funding Islamic extremism. Qatar is an unspoken enemy of Bharat [India] through its acts of liberally funding the Pakistani Army, which in turn funds terrorism in Kashmir. Other terrorists that Qatar has openly supported are the Taliban, the Muslim Brotherhood, certain al-Qaeda affiliates and the Houthi rebels in Yemen.

With only 350,000 nationals; but with constant access to enormous wealth through its natural gas reserves, Qatar seeks to exercise an international influence that is disproportionate to its geographical size, not only in the Middle-East, but across the world. Qatar’s protection from any global action is insured by its “investments” in the political parties and politicians in the UK, the USA and the EU. Governments of these countries, regardless of which political party is in power, seek to maintain good relationships with Qatar in order to benefit from its huge energy reserves, to sell defense equipment to it, and to attract Qatari investment into key infrastructure and energy projects. Bharat [India] and its ruling politicians are no exception. They allowed an investment of one billion US dollars by the Qatar Investment Authority into Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Retail Ventures. Beyond this, Qatar has made investments into media houses, real estate, infrastructure, financial institutions and investment funds. So, when thousands of Indian origin construction workers are killed in Qatar under inhuman working conditions or very soon, eight retired officers of our navy are hanged at the whim of Qatar’s ruling family, do not be shocked. According to our Government and our bureaucracy, sacrificing a few Indian lives and our honor and price for the billions in investments; is just the price of doing business with Qatar.  

Qatar’s ruling family, the al-Thani’s have perfected the art of being on all sides of a conflict and supporting everyone against each other. While funding the Hamas and allowing its leaders to enjoy residency in Qatar, it has positioned itself to be a key negotiator for the release of Israeli hostages, and at the same time preserved its close security and economic ties with the USA. Qatar hosts the forward HQs of the U.S. military’s Central Command at the al-Udeid Air base in Doha. This gives Qatar the safety shield that it needs from any military attacks from its neighbors while being publicly praised by USA as its major non-NATO ally, critically important to U.S. foreign policy in the region. This support from USA comes at a cost of tens of millions of dollars that Qatar spends though its lobbyists in Washington DC, and influences the U.S. lawmakers through investments in law-makers constituencies, contributing to their election fund-raising, sponsored visits to Qatar (Minnesota Congress woman Ilhan Omar’s visit to the soccer World cup was fully funded by Qatar) and has been accused of bribing this same Congress woman in exchange for sensitive intelligence information and to influence U.S. policy in its favor.

When caught in illegal acts, Qatar falls back on their policy of threatening to restrict energy supplies to countries that accuse it of corrupt and unethical practices.

The attack on Israel by Hamas has to be considered as a geo-political strategy by Iran and Qatar, working to destabilize the Middle-East peace process for their own gains. The current conflict has successfully stalled and maybe destroyed the Israel–Saudi Arabi Normalization Agreement, allowed Iran to gain prominence in the region’s politics, while putting those Arab states that have signed peace agreements with Israel into a difficult position whereby while trying to honor these agreements they have to deal with the unrest on the ground by their Muslim citizens who are majorly anti-Israel. This works in the favor of Qatar who is opposed to the global influence of the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, who have accused Qatar of various crimes in the past. The Hamas offensive has encouraged smaller terrorist groups to attack U.S forces in the region, with rocket attacks on American military installations in Iraq and Syria.

If the current Hamas–Israel expands to become a U.S–Iran conflict, even through the use of proxies, it will affect global economy. Europe which is already under economic recessions due to the Ukraine–Russia war, will be adversely impacted as energy supplies from the Gulf would become scarce. The U.S. economy might also tip into severe recession and higher inflation, leading to a domino effect on other economies of the world that are tied to the U.S. economy. Scarcity of energy resources will mean higher logistics costs, increased production costs and reduced consumer spending.

The first question to be asked is this. At what point will USA, UK and the EU decide to abandon their support to Qatar to stop its funding of terrorists across the world, and try to normalize ties with Iran? Unless the influence of Qatar is removed from the geo-political equation, peace or even a restless peace will not materialize.

Therefore, the unspoken question has to be asked. Did Israel and its allies have complete knowledge of the impending Hamas attack on Israel, but decided to let it happen anyway for a greater geo-political strategy? The other line of thought is that, prior to this Hamas terrorist attack of 7th October, the politics of Israel was deeply divided. Their current Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was on trial for corruption, and was being tried in their Court of Law for fraud, breach of trust, and accepting bribes. Three of his former close confidants have turned State’s evidence and are testifying against him. The current war is a welcome diversion from political problems, even if it has caused the killings of thousands on both sides. So, the moot question arises. Did some interested parties in Israel manipulate intelligence information for party political gains, not realizing that what they might have expected to be nothing more than ‘containable violence’, actually turned out to be a full-scale invasion?

While many will assume these questions to be in the area of an ‘unbelievable conspiracy’, the relationships of the past between the various players in the middle-east, the current relationships between Islamic nations and their fundamentalists, the issues faced by Israeli politicians in their own country, and their singular relationships with the USA; all of these will determine the outcome of the present Hamas–Israel conflict.  

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sunday, January 22, 2023

"AI-Generated Article: Understanding Terrorism's Economic Impact"

 This article below was created using the Artificial Intelligence system ChatGPT. I have not edited this article in any way, YET it has covered every aspect of the topic correctly.

Conclusion: Ai is no longer a futuristic concept.It is actually a part of life.

Terrorist organizations have a significant impact on the global economy and are a major concern for international authorities. These groups often engage in violent acts that disrupt economic activity and cause harm to both individuals and businesses. Additionally, the cost of anti-terrorism measures can be significant, placing a strain on government budgets and diverting resources away from other areas of need.

One of the most notable ways in which terrorist organizations impede economic growth is through the disruption of trade and commerce. Attacks on transportation infrastructure, such as airports and seaports, can make it difficult for goods to be moved around the world. This can lead to delays in the delivery of goods and services, which can slow down economic activity. Similarly, terrorist attacks on businesses can lead to closures or reduced production, which can have a negative impact on the local and national economy.

Another way in which terrorist organizations negatively impact the global economy is through the creation of fear and uncertainty. When terrorist attacks occur, people may become afraid to travel or engage in other economic activities. This can lead to a reduction in tourism and a decline in consumer spending. Additionally, businesses may become hesitant to invest in certain regions or industries if they believe that the threat of terrorism is high. This can lead to a slowdown in economic growth and job creation.

The cost of anti-terrorism measures is also a significant concern. Governments around the world spend billions of dollars each year on measures such as increased security at public places, border security, and intelligence gathering. These costs can place a strain on government budgets and divert resources away from other areas of need. Additionally, these measures can be an added burden on businesses and individuals, who may have to pay more for goods and services or face additional restrictions on their activities.

Terrorist organizations also have a significant impact on the financial markets. Attacks on major cities and financial centers can cause stock markets to plummet, leading to massive losses for investors. This can have a ripple effect throughout the global economy as investors pull out of other markets and businesses struggle to access capital. The effects of these attacks can be long-lasting, and it can take a significant amount of time for markets to recover.

In conclusion, terrorist organizations have a significant impact on the global economy. They disrupt trade and commerce, create fear and uncertainty, and divert resources away from other areas of need. The cost of anti-terrorism measures can be significant, placing a strain on government budgets and diverting resources away from other areas of need. The effects of terrorist attacks on the financial markets can be long-lasting and far-reaching. It is essential that international authorities continue to take steps to combat terrorism and protect the global economy.

 



Saturday, January 7, 2023

“History, Hypocrisy and Hurdle”

 Islamic terrorism in Europe 2022

First Published in the January 2023 edition of The Organiser magazine 

The 28 countries of the European Union [EU] is home to about 25 million Muslims; and their presence is currently the basis of controversy, debate, fear and in some parts, outright hatred. Never before has the European continent witnessed this level of mutual suspicion between mainstream European societies and Muslims. There is increasing fear and opposition to European Muslims in the EU, and are perceived as a threat to national identity, domestic security and the main-stream social fabric. Mainstream society in Europe can be loosely defined as that section of the population that believes in Christianity and its value system. Muslims in Europe, however, believe that the majority of Europeans reject their presence and vilify their religion.

Historically, Islamic globalization began as early as the late Middle Ages (500 to 1400–1500 AD), and the Muslim presence in Europe was only on the fringes of the continent, starting at the Iberian Peninsula (Spain and Portugal) and spreading along the Mediterranean shores to other parts of Southern Europe. Parts of the Ottoman Caliphate’s Balkan territory became Muslim in the early modern period (1440-1500), while Tartar settlers brought Islam to the Baltic region. In the late 19th century, Muslim migration to Western Europe was largely connected to the empires. The first clusters of networks of Muslims emerged after 1918, as a result of the Great War (as World War-1 was known) which brought thousands of Muslims into Europe and institutionalized Islam in the continent. Muslim communities emerged in three spaces; the mosques as religious physical spaces, associations and organizations a legal spaces and constructive and intellectual spaces expressed through Islamic newspapers and media. Essentially, these three spaces were occupied by individuals who identified themselves as Muslims, and focused primarily on the formation of Islamic organizations identified by a common religion, rather than diverse ethnic or linguistic backgrounds.

Radicalization of these Muslim communities in Europe started in the 1960s due to the activities of the Muslim Brotherhood. Founded in Egypt in 1928, by Islamic scholar Hassan al-Banna, the Jamāʿat al-Ikhwān al-Muslimīn, aka the Muslim Brotherhood has spread internationally, influencing various Islamic movements from charitable organizations to political parties, who have different names but a singular goal – jihad against the world.

While the Brotherhood's radical ideas have shaped the beliefs of generations of Islamist(s) over the past two decades, it has lost much of its power and appeal in the Middle East, crushed by harsh repression from local Arab regimes and rejected by the younger generation of Islamist(s). Europe however, has become an incubator for the Islamist political process. Since the early 1960s, Muslim Brotherhood members and sympathizers have moved to Europe and slowly but steadily established a wide and well-organized network of mosques, charities, and Islamic organizations, with the focus on expanding Islamic law throughout Europe.

The radicalized Islamic students who migrated to Europe from the Middle-East 45 years ago and their decedents now, are leaders of local Muslim communities that engage with Europe’s mainstream political elite. Funded by generous and constant financial contributions from Qatar and Saudi Arabia’s Wahhabi community, they lead and dominate a centralized network of terrorism that spans nearly every European country. With expertise in modern rhetoric and fluent in German, French and Dutch languages; the terrorist masterminds have gained acceptance with members of the European governments and the media. As the Muslim community expands rapidly due to immigration, the mainstream political parties in Europe are engaging with them as potential vote-banks.

The duplicitous nature of the Brotherhood is openly demonstrated by their activities among their fellow Muslims, where while speaking in Arabic or Turkish, they drop their ‘moderate’ façade and embrace radicalism. While speaking in public about interfaith dialogue and social integration, they preach hate against the western society in their mosques and private gatherings. While publicly condemning murderous terrorist activities against average citizens, they continue to raise funds for Hamas, al-Qaeda and ISIS. The Europeans, forever eager to ‘understand the Muslim community’ and create a dialogue, overlook this duplicity. This is particularly visible in Germany; not only because it offered asylum to the first major wave of Muslim Brotherhood immigrants, but also for accepting their rhetoric at face value and ignoring the wider scope of the Brotherhood’s activities.

During the 1950s and 1960s, thousands of Muslim students left the Middle East to study at German universities, drawn not only by the German institutions' technical reputations but also by a desire to escape repressive regimes. Beginning in 1954, several members of the Muslim Brotherhood fled from Egypt to escape its ruler Gamal Abdel Nasser’s brutal efforts to neutralize them, and West Germany provided a welcome refuge. West Germany’s motivations were not based simply on compassion for the immigrants. It was based on a political decision whereby West Germany was cutting diplomatic relations with countries that recognized East Germany. [Till November 1989, Germany was divided by the Berlin Wall into two separate countries; West Germany which was influenced by Western democratic values and East Germany which was allied with the Soviet Union]. When Syria and Egypt established diplomatic relationships with the Communist government of East Germany, the West German government decided to welcome political refugees from Syria and Egypt. Many were Muslim Brotherhood members already familiar with Germany, several of whom had cooperated with the Nazis before and during WW2.

One of the first such members of the Brotherhood was Sa’id Ramadan, the personal secretary to Hasan al-Banna who founded the organization. Ramadan founded one of Germany’s three main Muslim organizations, the Islamische Gemeinschaft Deutschland (Islamic Society of Germany, IGD), over which he presided from 1958 to 1968. He also co-founded the Muslim World League, a well-funded organization that the Saudi establishment uses to spread its radical interpretation of Islam throughout the world. The U.S. government closely monitors activities of the Muslim World League which has been regularly accused of financing terrorism. In January 2004, the U.S. Senate Finance Committee asked the Internal Revenue Service for its records on the Muslim World League "as part of an investigation into possible links between nongovernmental organizations and terrorist financing networks."

After Sa’id Ramadan, Pakistani national Fazal Yazdani led the IGD for a brief period before he was replaced by Ghaleb Himmat, a Syrian origin member with Italian citizenship. During his leadership of the IGD (1973-2002) he was under scrutiny by Western intelligence agencies for his connections to terrorism. He was one of the founders of the Bank al-Taqwa aka the ‘Bank of the Muslim Brotherhood’ which has financed terrorism since the mid-1990s, possibly earlier also. Himmat was helped by Youssef Nada, one of the Brotherhood's financial masterminds to run Al-Taqwa and a web of companies headquartered in locations such as Switzerland, Liechtenstein, and the Bahamas, countries which maintain few regulations on monetary origin or destination. Both Himmat and Nada have regularly financed the activities Hamas and the Algerian Islamic Salvation Front and had reportedly set-up a line-of-credit for Osama bin Laden’s al-Qaeda operations.

Under the leadership of Ramadan and Himmat, the Brotherhood sponsored the construction of the Islamic Center of Munich in 1960, which was fully aided by large donations from the Middle-East kingdoms. According to the 1967 article in Sueddeutsche Zeitung (a German daily newspaper published from Munich) King Fahd of Saudi Arabia donated 80,000 German Marks (approximately 450,000 Euros of today). German Intelligence states that the Islamic Centre of Munich has been one of the European headquarters for the Brotherhood since its foundation. The centre publishes a magazine, Al-Islam, whose efforts (according to intelligence agencies) are financed by the Bank al-Taqwa. Al-Islam shows explicitly how the German Brothers reject the concept of a secular state, and its February 2002 issue states clearly that;

“In the long run, Muslims cannot be satisfied with the acceptance of German family, estate, and trial law - Muslims should aim at an agreement between the Muslims and the German state with the goal of a separate jurisdiction for Muslims”

The Islamic Centre of Munich is one of the important members of the IGD (Islamische Gemeinschaft Deutschland) and is a clear example of how the Muslim Brotherhood has gained power in Europe through its base in Germany.

Himmat was succeeded by Ibramin el-Zayat, a German born Muslim activist of Egyptian descent, and known to be a charismatic leader of numerous youth organizations. Zayat understood the importance of focusing on the new generation of German Muslims and worked consistently to recruit young Muslims into Islamic organizations. While the German authorities have no doubt that he is a member of the Muslim Brotherhood, they have also linked him to the ‘World Assembly of Muslim Youth’ [WAMY], a Saudi sponsored NGO that seeks to spread Wahhabism, the radical and intolerant interpretation of Islam, throughout the world through its schools and literature. WAMY, which is controlled by the Muslim World League, has the stated goal of "arming the Muslim youth with full confidence in the supremacy of the Islamic system over other systems." It is the largest Muslim youth organization in the world and has unlimited financial resources.

In 1991 WAMY published a book called Tawjihat Islamiya (Islamic Views) that stated, "Teach our children to love taking revenge on the Jews and the oppressors, and teach them that our youngsters will liberate Palestine and Al-Quds [Jerusalem] when they go back to Islam and make jihad for the sake of Allah.” The sentiments in Tawjihat Islamiya are the rule rather than the exception and are taught even today across European mosques and madrassas.

German police have linked Zayat to Institut Européen des Sciences Humaines, a French school that prepares European imams. Several radical clerics lecture at the school and several European intelligence agencies accuse the school of spreading religious hatred. German authorities also highlight the fact that he is involved in several money laundering investigations. His association with officials of Milli Görüş (National Vision, in Turkish) has attracted the most attention from European Intelligence agencies. Milli Görüş, which has 30,000 members and perhaps another 100,000 sympathizers, claims to defend the rights of Germany's immigrant Turkish population, giving them a voice in the democratic political arena while "preserving their Islamic identity."

But Milli Görüş has another agenda. While publicly declaring its interest in democratic debate and a willingness to see Turkish immigrants integrated into European societies, many Milli Görüş leaders have expressed contempt for democracy and Western values. The Bundesverfassungsschutz, Germany's domestic intelligence agency, has repeatedly warned about Milli Görüş' activities, describing the group in its annual reports as a "foreign extremist organization."

The Saudis created the Islamische Konzil Deutschland (Islamic Council of Germany) under the leadership of Abdullah al-Turki, the well-connected dean of the bin Saud University in Riyadh, with other top positions being held by leaders of Milli Gorus and the Islamic Center of Munich. While an official German parliament report describes the Islamische Konzil as just "another Sunni organization," such an assumption indicates a dangerous misunderstanding of the Saudi relationship to German Islamists and their sponsorship of terrorist activities. Back in 1994, the Islamists realized that a ‘united coalition’ would empower them with greater political relevance and influence. Nineteen organizations united together to form the Zentralrat der Muslime [Central Council of Muslims in Germany]. Nadeem Elyas, the Zentralrat president has been linked to Christian Ganczarski, an Al-Qaeda operative currently jailed as one of the masterminds of the 2002 attack on a synagogue in Tunisia. Ganczarski, a German of Polish descent who converted to Islam, told authorities that Al-Qaeda recruited him at the Islamic University of Medina where Elyas had sent him to study, with all expenses paid for by Saudi donors. In an interview with Die Welt (a German daily newspaper), Elyas has admitted to having sent hundreds of German Muslims to study at one of the most radical universities in Saudi Arabia.

With many organizations operating under different names, the Muslim Brotherhood fools the German politicians who believe they are consulting a spectrum of opinion, while in reality it is the radical interpretation of Islam as expressed by the Muslim Brotherhood and not that of traditional Islam. With an unending access to massive Saudi financing, the Muslim Brotherhood has managed to become the voice of the Muslims in Germany. While the Brotherhood and its Saudi financiers have consolidated their hold in Germany, they have spread like cancer across other European countries. With generous and unlimited funding from Saudi Arabia and Qatar, combined with the Brotherhood’s meticulous organization structure that exploits the weaknesses of the European elites, it has gained prominent positions throughout Europe. In France the extremist Union des Organisations Islamiques de France (Union of Islamic Organizations of France) has become the predominant organization in the government's Islamic Council. In Italy, the extremist Unione delle Comunita' ed Organizzazioni Islamiche in Italia (Union of the Islamic Communities and Organizations in Italy) is the government's prime partner in dialogue regarding Italian Islamic issues.

The Muslim Brotherhood’s acceptance into mainstream European society and their unchallenged rise to power would not have been possible had European elites been more vigilant, valued substance over rhetoric, and understood the motivations of those financing and building these Islamist organizations. The European’s weakness lies in many factors, mainly because their social integration policies have been erratic and inconsistent and assuming that only a tiny minority of Muslims are engaged in radical activities. The root of this assumption is the fear of being accused as racists by the immigrants and their decedents. Islamic radicals have learned that they can silence almost everybody with the accusation of islamophobia. The response to any criticism of Muslim Brotherhood-linked organizations is outcries of racism and anti-Muslim persecution. European politicians have failed to understand that by interacting with radicals like the Muslim Brotherhood, they empower and grant legitimacy to terrorists. This creates a cycle of radicalization where the greater the political legitimacy granted to the Brotherhood, the more opportunity they receive to influence and radicalize new generations of European Muslims.

While Germany is being taken over politically through radicalization of the Muslim population, France has been the top target for Islamic radical attacks. According to official Europol data, France has been the targeted by more jihadi attacks than any other EU member nation since 2014, and that 300 French citizens have been killed in these attacks. France is the ‘perfect enemy’ for Islamic Jihadists since it has the largest Muslim population (about 7% of the population), the biggest Jewish population (1%) and a very important legacy of Christianism.

The first major terrorist attack on French soil in recent years took place on January 7, 2015, when assailants operating on behalf of al-Qaeda’s Yemeni branch stormed the offices of French satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo with assault rifles, killing 12 people. In the coming days, an associate of the gunmen killed five people in the name of ISIS; one policewoman and four patrons at a supermarket in Paris.

The Charlie Hebdo attacks were the deadliest on French soil for 50 years, but even they were surpassed on November 13, 2015; when eight ISIS gunmen and suicide bombers targeted a variety of locations throughout Paris and its environs—cafes, restaurants, the national stadium, and a concert hall—collectively killing 130 people and wounding 350 more in the deadliest attack on French soil since World War II.

Since then, ISIS has continued to inspire French residents to terror. On July 14, 2016, a Tunisian-born resident of Nice drove a truck into a crowd celebrating Bastille Day at Nice’s beachside promenade, killing 86 people and wounding more than 430 others. The attack came between two other ISIS-claimed attacks: on June 13, a convicted terrorist stabbed two police officers at their home in Magnanville, and on July 26, two ISIS assailants stormed the Saint-Etienne parish church in Normandy, killing an elderly priest.

These attacks and other attempts—including a September 2016 attempt by female jihadists to explode gas canisters near the Notre Dame cathedral—have highlighted the major strain on France’s counter-terrorism infrastructure as it struggles to monitor an estimated 15,000 terrorism suspects in the country. France is the largest source of Western fighters to Iraq and Syria, with an estimated 2,000 French nationals having traveled to the conflict zone as of May 2016. The country also suffers from a major radicalization problem within its prisons, where an estimated 1,400 inmates are believed to be radicalized.

France has been left struggling with the question of why it has become a prime target and how it should respond. As per President Macron, France is being targeted by terrorists because of its “freedom of expression, right to believe, or not, and its way of life.” He claims that a form of “Islamist separatism” has found fertile ground for its ideals in some parts of the country. For over forty years, successive French presidents have sought to manage the state’s relationship with an ethnically and religiously diverse Muslim community. In France, the concept of laïcité (secularism) enjoins a strict delineation between the state and the private sphere of personal beliefs. Designed in origin to protect individuals from state intrusion, and the state from religious influence, it has in recent years been increasingly wielded to do the exact opposite: encroaching evermore into the private sphere of Muslim citizens from defining dress codes to diet and religious education, whereby the state has sought to influence each of these in recent years, only to be confronted by the strength of a Republican framework where the courts have upheld the original principles of laïcité.

Discrimination against Muslims in France is prevalent in every sector of the French society; from housing to employment and interactions with the Police. According to the French government’s own survey, 42% of Muslims have stated that they have experienced discrimination due to their religion, a figure which rises to 60% among women who wear the Abbaya and Hijab. Around 67% of French Arab Muslims believe that their faith is perceived negatively, while 64% said the same in reference to their ethnicity. Many consider this as a form of creeping authoritarianism that is indicative of political racism. Proposed new laws will allow more tighter control over civil society, that will specifically include Muslim religious organizations and where their leaders will be required to conform to a ‘Republican charter’, a modern-day patriotism test imposed on the Muslim community. Under these laws, Imams will have to be trained through a state sanctioned organization which will ensure their conformity with the state’s version of laïcité (secularism).

Almost every country of the European Union has been the target of Islamic terrorism. The EU has introduced new policies with the cooperation of its member states to track the radicalization, funding and sponsorship of terrorism and prevent future attacks, however the EU’s refusal to accept the role of Saudi Arabia and Qatar in funding terrorism is still a hurdle to be overcome.

“We are determined to protect Europe’s societies and its people. We will uphold our common values and European way of life.  We will safeguard our pluralist societies and continue with firm resolve to combat all forms of violence which target people on the basis of their actual or supposed ethnic origin, or their religious belief or on the basis of other types of prejudice”.

EU HOME AFFAIRS MINISTERS -Joint Statement 2021

 

Compiled by Sardar Sanjay Matkar

For Organizer Magazine.

References:

  • 1)      Khalid Duran, "Jihadism in Europe," The Journal of Counterterrorism and Security International.
  • 2)      Georges Lepre, "Himmler's Bosnian Division: The Waffen SS Handschar Division 1943-45”.
  • 3)      "Prasidenten der IGD," Islamische Gemeinschaft in Deutschland website.
  • 4)      Fouad Ajami, "Tariq Ramadan," The Wall Street Journal, Sept. 7, 2004.
  • 5)      Official dossier on Ahmed Nasreddin, Servizio per le Informazioni e la Sicurezza Democratica (Italian secret service, SISDE)
  • 6)      Report on radical Islam, Baden Württenberg state Verfassungsschutzbericht, 2003.
  • 7)      Report on Ibrahim el-Zayat, Cologne police, Aug. 27, 2003,
  • 8)      David Kane, FBI senior special agent, affidavit in "Supplemental Declaration in Support of Pre-Trial Detention," United States of America v. Soliman S. Biheiri, U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia. The affidavit also details WAMY's links to the Palestinian terrorist organization Hamas.
  • 9)      Michael Waller, testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee Subcommittee on Terrorism, Technology, and Homeland Security, Oct. 14, 2003.
  • 10)  "Animosity toward the Jews, " A Handy Encyclopedia of Contemporary Religions and Sects (WAMY), FBI translation from Arabic; Steven Emerson, statement to the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks upon the United States, July 9, 2003;
  • 11)  Hugo Micheron, a postdoctoral research associate focusing on Islamic extremism at Princeton University,

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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