Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Paris attack on 13 November: Clinical Analysis



Paris: Most favored destination for Terrorist Attacks:


Now that most of the hysteria and excited assumptions of the attack on Paris are over, we should take time to clinically analyze this attack on a European cultural centre and its ramifications for the future. 

The attack on Paris on Friday 13 (2015) was the first multi-target, well coordinated attack on six different locations killed 130 persons and wounded 368. There was no advance information on the specifics of this attack since the usual internet chatter prior to the attack was missing. Informants deeply embedded into terrorist areas were also unaware of the plans; leading to a rising concern that the attack squads were trained to “go dark”, i.e. – use minimal communication and carry out their part of the attack without any contact to other attackers or their handlers. EU Intelligence services had already stated their suspicions that “professional squads of terrorists were inserting themselves into migrant groups from Syria and North Africa”; but the ruthless efficiency of the attacks caught everyone by surprise. 

Paris is the favorite target of terrorists.  Since 1961, more than 250 people have been killed and over 600 injured in terrorist attacks carried out by a variety of groups, the most recent being Algerian insurgents and Islamic extremists. The latest attack is significant in its disciplined multi-target approach and the extent of damage that was caused to life and property. While earlier attacks on Paris were the handiwork of various ideologies from the far left to the extreme right, Daesh (Islamic State) has targeted Paris for three unique reasons. 

Firstly, since Paris is considered by radical Islamist's as an epitome of debauchery and decadence; and hence needs to be punished for straying onto an immoral path. More so, it was in Paris that the famous slogan “Liberty, Equality and Fraternity” was first declared as the “Rights of Man and Citizens”; an idea that is deeply resented by the Islamic radicals. 

Secondly, it is considered an easy target with greatest opportunity to inflict damage. Given its porous borders with Spain and Italy in the south; men, guns and bombs can be easily smuggled from either the Mediterranean side or Bay of Biscay and into France. The fact that this specific group of Islamic extremists chose to base themselves in Belgium prior to the attack is a major indicator about their modus operandi to stay under local Intelligence surveillance networks.

Thirdly, terrorism is prominently a psychological war. The focus of every terrorist attack is to ensure a large enough amount of destruction, death and bloodshed to ensure that the incident gets global headline news. This creates fear in the minds of the people who are attacked and creates an illusion that terrorists can strike anywhere and anytime as it pleases them. The bigger psychological effect is on the Muslim population that supports terrorism. Every jihadi attack like 13/11 is considered a winning attack and leads to more recruits joining the ranks of terrorists and towards higher amounts in donations and funds received by terrorist organizations. 

Planning the attack on Friday the 13th also seems to have a purpose. This date is known as “black Friday” in the West and considered unlucky. Though it is only a popular superstition in Western society, an estimated 17 – 22 million people are affected by a fear of this day, making it the most feared date and day in history. The terrorist attack on this day and date would reinforce the fear factor in the Western society, or so the terrorists hope. 

Every terrorist attack is a political statement by the attackers. In this specific case, apart from this being a revenge attack by Daesh on France for its participation in the bombings of Islamic State targets, the underlying reason is to embolden the fringe elements of Islamic radicals in Europe to increase lone wolf or wolf pack attacks onto the general public and cause disruptions in the western society and economy. We should not forget that the main export of the Islamic State is its ideology of merciless Jihad, and that is the real danger that the world needs to learn how to control, contain and defeat.

The French people did respond back immediately with a avalanche of social media response (the hash-tag portesouvertes or ‘open doors’) where on-the-ground people opened up their homes as safe sanctuary to those who were caught in the madness of the attacks, and viral videos of the residents of France singing their national anthem as they exited in a disciplined fashion from the venue of the soccer match which was attacked by a suicide bomber. The singular message from the People of France to the terrorists was “You may have broken the bodies of the victims, but not shaken the spirit of Libery, Equality and Fraternity”.

*****



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